Rangers at Blue Jays
Last play · Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TEX 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 0 TOR
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Bo Bichette scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd. (inning 8) — +61% Blue Jays
8Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Bo Bichette scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd.5–6
8Daulton Varsho walks. Davis Schneider scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.5–4
8Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Andrés Giménez scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.5–3
8Marcus Semien homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Evan Carter scores.5–2
7Alejandro Kirk homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Daulton Varsho scores.3–2
2Kyle Higashioka homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcus Semien scores. Rowdy Tellez scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








