Orioles at Astros
Last play · Jose Altuve strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
BAL 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 0 HOU
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Daniel Johnson scores. Jackson Holliday scores. Jordan Westburg to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Jesús Sánchez. (inning 5) — -20% Orioles
8Dylan Carlson homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Greg Allen scores.7–0
8Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Taylor Trammell. Ryan Mountcastle scores.5–0
7Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jordan Westburg scores.4–0
5Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Daniel Johnson scores. Jackson Holliday scores. Jordan Westburg to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Jesús Sánchez.3–0
4Coby Mayo homers (5) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








