Padres at Dodgers
Last play · Ryan O'Hearn flies out to center fielder Justin Dean.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SD 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 2 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -15% Padres
8Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Jose Iglesias scores.2–3
7Teoscar Hernández homers (19) on a line drive to center field.1–3
3Mookie Betts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Alex Freeland scores.1–2
3Shohei Ohtani grounds into a force out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Michael Conforto scores. Alex Freeland to 3rd. Miguel Rojas out at 2nd. Shohei Ohtani to 1st.1–1
2Ramón Laureano homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








