Mariners at Mets
Last play · Dominic Canzone grounds out, pitcher Edwin Díaz to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
SEA 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Mets favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Brett Baty scores. (inning 3) — +11% Mets
9Eugenio Suárez homers (38) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
7Pete Alonso doubles (31) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Brandon Nimmo scores.0–3
7Juan Soto out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brett Baty scores.0–2
3Francisco Lindor doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Brett Baty scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








