Phillies at Nationals
Last play · Harrison Bader strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
PHI 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood doubles (27) on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Dylan Crews scores. Brady House scores. (inning 5) — +25% Nationals
5James Wood doubles (27) on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Dylan Crews scores. Brady House scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








