Marlins at Red Sox
Last play · Javier Sanoja grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
MIA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 7 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Red Sox favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masataka Yoshida singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jakob Marsee. Roman Anthony scores. Trevor Story scores. Masataka Yoshida to 2nd. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox
9Derek Hill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Eric Wagaman scores.5–7
9Eric Wagaman triples (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Roman Anthony. Heriberto Hernández scores.4–7
9Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Agustín Ramírez scores.3–7
7Agustín Ramírez homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.2–7
5Troy Johnston homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–7
4Alex Bregman singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Derek Hill, deflected by second baseman Xavier Edwards. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.0–7
3Trevor Story homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Bregman scores. Jarren Duran scores.0–6
3Jarren Duran doubles (32) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jakob Marsee. Roman Anthony scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








