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Orioles at Astros

BAL4HOU5
Final
Inn123456789101112RHE
BAL000020020000470
HOU010200100001580
Last play · Ramón Urías grounds into a force out, third baseman Jordan Westburg to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Ramón Urías to 1st.
Win probability
Astros100%
BAL 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BAL 23 HOU
Astros led after 5
Inning 2: Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Johnson. Cam Smith scores.Inning 4: Jacob Melton singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Cam Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd. Chas McCormick to 2nd.Inning 4: Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Mauricio Dubón scores. Chas McCormick to 3rd. Jacob Melton to 2nd.Inning 5: Dylan Carlson homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Johnson scores.Inning 7: Jose Altuve homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 8: Jackson Holliday homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Dylan Carlson scores.Inning 12: Ramón Urías grounds into a force out, third baseman Jordan Westburg to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Ramón Urías to 1st.
Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Dylan Carlson scores. (inning 8) — -34% Orioles

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.