Brewers at Reds
Last play · Matt McLain flies out to center fielder Brandon Lockridge.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 0 CIN
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Reds favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andruw Monasterio homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Caleb Durbin scores. Brice Turang scores. (inning 11) — -55% Brewers
11Noelvi Marte homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.6–5
11Santiago Espinal out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brandon Lockridge. Elly De La Cruz scores.6–4
11Andruw Monasterio homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Caleb Durbin scores. Brice Turang scores.6–3
10Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a ground-rule double (12) on a line drive to right field. Matt McLain scores.3–3
10William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Fraley. Anthony Seigler scores. William Contreras to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Jake Fraley.3–2
9Sal Frelick grounds into a force out, second baseman Matt McLain to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Brice Turang scores. Tyler Black out at 2nd. Sal Frelick to 1st. Throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz.2–2
6Spencer Steer homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
6Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








