Pirates at Cubs
Last play · Spencer Horwitz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PIT 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alexander Canario. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Cubs
8Nico Hoerner doubles (20) on a ground ball to center fielder Alexander Canario. Seiya Suzuki scores. Ian Happ to 3rd.1–3
8Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alexander Canario. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.1–2
4Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alexander Canario. Kyle Tucker scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.1–1
4Tommy Pham homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








