Tigers at Twins
Last play · Byron Buxton called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
DET 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Luke Keaschall scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. (inning 5) — +29% Twins
9Jahmai Jones singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Trey Sweeney scores.8–5
9Trey Sweeney reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Justin Topa. Zach McKinstry scores. Trey Sweeney to 3rd.7–5
7James Outman reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Tyler Holton, assist to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Matt Wallner scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.6–5
7Brooks Lee grounds out, shortstop Trey Sweeney to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Luke Keaschall scores.6–4
7Gleyber Torres reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Brooks Lee to catcher Ryan Jeffers. Jahmai Jones out at home.6–3
7Jahmai Jones doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Outman. Dillon Dingler scores. Trey Sweeney to 3rd.5–3
7Trey Sweeney singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Brooks Lee, deflected by third baseman Royce Lewis. Wenceel Pérez scores. Dillon Dingler to 2nd.4–3
6Riley Greene out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Outman. Trey Sweeney scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








