Marlins at Red Sox
Last play · Carlos Narváez flies out to right fielder Dane Myers.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
MIA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
Red Sox favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dane Myers homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 9) — -41% Marlins
9Jakob Marsee homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Eric Wagaman scores.5–3
9Dane Myers homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
8Liam Hicks singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Xavier Edwards scores. Agustín Ramírez to 2nd.2–3
7Abraham Toro out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Joey Wiemer. Wilyer Abreu scores.1–3
4Wilyer Abreu homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Jarren Duran scores.1–2
3Eric Wagaman homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








