Yankees at Cardinals
Last play · Iván Herrera pops out to catcher Austin Wells in foul territory.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
NYY 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 6 – 5 STL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham scores. (inning 4) — -38% Yankees
9Pedro Pagés homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.12–8
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Hampson. Trent Grisham scores.12–7
7Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham to 2nd.11–7
7Ryan McMahon homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.10–7
6Nolan Gorman homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Jordan Walker scores.9–7
6Ben Rice doubles (21) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Austin Wells scores. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham scores.9–5
4Ben Rice homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham scores.6–5
3Aaron Judge homers (39) on a fly ball to center field.3–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








