Rangers at Blue Jays
Last play · Myles Straw strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TEX 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 6 – 1 TOR
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcus Semien homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Rowdy Tellez scores. (inning 2) — -24% Rangers
9Evan Carter homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Corey Seager scores.10–4
8George Springer homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Myles Straw scores.8–4
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.8–2
6Wyatt Langford homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Josh Smith scores.8–1
5Corey Seager homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
4Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jake Burger scores. Cody Freeman scores.5–1
4Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Addison Barger. Marcus Semien scores.3–1
2Alejandro Kirk homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








