Mariners at Mets
Last play · Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
SEA 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Mets favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez scores. (inning 5) — +12% Mets
7Cal Raleigh homers (47) on a fly ball to left field. Randy Arozarena scores.3–7
5Francisco Lindor doubles (25) on a fly ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone, deflected by center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Cedric Mullins scores.1–7
5Mark Vientos homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez scores.1–6
4Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins, deflected by shortstop Francisco Lindor. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–3
2Mark Vientos out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Francisco Alvarez scores.0–3
2Brett Baty singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd.0–2
2Francisco Alvarez doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Pete Alonso scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








