Braves at Guardians
Last play · Nolan Jones strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
ATL 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 4 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Guardians favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jurickson Profar homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores. (inning 6) — -31% Braves
6Jurickson Profar homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores.5–4
5Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. Michael Harris II to 2nd.3–4
5Michael Harris II reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Angel Martínez. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 3rd. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.2–4
4Daniel Schneemann triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Nolan Jones scores. Steven Kwan scores.1–4
3Bo Naylor doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Daniel Schneemann scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.1–2
3Kyle Manzardo hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Jurickson Profar. Steven Kwan scores. Kyle Manzardo to 1st.1–1
2Nacho Alvarez Jr. grounds into a force out, third baseman Daniel Schneemann to second baseman Angel Martínez. Michael Harris II scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd. Sean Murphy out at 2nd. Nacho Alvarez Jr. to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








