Tigers at Twins
Last play · Wenceel Pérez grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 8 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (25) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — +15% Twins
4Luke Keaschall grounds into a force out, third baseman Colt Keith to second baseman Zach McKinstry. Byron Buxton scores. Trevor Larnach out at 2nd. Luke Keaschall to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Zach McKinstry.1–8
3Brooks Lee hits a grand slam (12) to right field. Luke Keaschall scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores.1–7
3Kody Clemens grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Trevor Larnach scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.1–3
3Byron Buxton homers (25) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
3Kerry Carpenter singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Colt Keith scores.1–1
2Royce Lewis homers (6) on a line drive to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








