Padres at Dodgers
Last play · Manny Machado strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
SD 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 4 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mookie Betts homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +38% Dodgers
8Mookie Betts homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
8Jose Iglesias grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.4–4
6Ryan O'Hearn doubles (17) on a fly ball to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Gavin Sheets scores.3–4
5Ramón Laureano homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.2–4
3Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–4
1Andy Pages homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
1Freddie Freeman homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








