Astros at Tigers
Last play · Yainer Diaz flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
Win probability
Tigers100%
HOU 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 5 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Tigers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter triples (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Colt Keith scores. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 5) — +17% Tigers
7Colt Keith homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.0–10
7Trey Sweeney homers (6) on a line drive to right field. Spencer Torkelson scores. Dillon Dingler scores.0–9
6Colt Keith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Melton. Trey Sweeney scores.0–6
5Riley Greene homers (29) on a fly ball to right center field. Kerry Carpenter scores.0–5
5Kerry Carpenter triples (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Colt Keith scores. Gleyber Torres scores.0–3
4Wenceel Pérez homers (10) on a line drive to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








