Rangers at Royals
Last play · Cody Freeman lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
Win probability
Royals100%
TEX 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Royals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino homers (23) on a line drive to right field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 3) — +23% Royals
8Rowdy Tellez grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Wyatt Langford scores.3–4
6Evan Carter singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Frazier. Wyatt Langford scores.2–4
5Maikel Garcia homers (12) on a line drive to left field.1–4
3Vinnie Pasquantino homers (23) on a line drive to right field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–3
2Jonah Heim singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Marcus Semien scores. Joc Pederson to 3rd.1–1
1Mike Yastrzemski homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








