Mariners at Phillies
Last play · Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SEA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Phillies favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Max Kepler scores. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 2) — +15% Phillies
9Randy Arozarena walks.7–12
9Cole Young grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Weston Wilson. Mitch Garver scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd.6–12
9Mitch Garver singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Josh Naylor scores.5–12
8Trea Turner singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.4–12
7Bryce Harper homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.4–11
7Kyle Schwarber singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Trea Turner scores.4–9
7Trea Turner doubles (28) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Max Kepler scores.4–8
7Cole Young homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Dominic Canzone scores. J.P. Crawford scores.4–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








