Orioles at Red Sox
Last play · Alex Bregman pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
BAL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 1 BOS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe homers (17) on a line drive to right center field. Romy Gonzalez scores. (inning 9) — +49% Red Sox
11Samuel Basallo grounds out softly, catcher Connor Wong to first baseman Abraham Toro. Jeremiah Jackson scores.4–3
9Nathaniel Lowe homers (17) on a line drive to right center field. Romy Gonzalez scores.3–3
5Dylan Beavers strikes out swinging.3–1
5Colton Cowser doubles (11) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Luis Vázquez scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.2–1
5Ryan Mountcastle singles on a line drive to left fielder Masataka Yoshida. Jackson Holliday scores. Luis Vázquez to 2nd.1–1
3Trevor Story grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Coby Mayo.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








