Reds at Angels
Last play · Zach Neto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
CIN 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 1 LAA
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Angels favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Lux homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 1) — -22% Reds
8Matt McLain out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Luis Rengifo. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.4–1
5Austin Hays out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–1
1Taylor Ward doubles (28) on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Nolan Schanuel scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.2–1
1Gavin Lux homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. TJ Friedl scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








