Mariners at Phillies
Last play · Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SEA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Phillies favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez doubles (23) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 7) — -36% Mariners
8J.T. Realmuto homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryce Harper scores.4–6
7Eugenio Suárez doubles (23) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh scores.4–4
7Julio Rodríguez grounds out softly, pitcher Orion Kerkering to first baseman Bryce Harper. Dylan Moore scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.2–4
4Bryson Stott homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
3J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Trea Turner scores.1–3
3Bryce Harper out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Bryson Stott scores. Trea Turner to 3rd.1–2
3Randy Arozarena doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader, deflected by left fielder Brandon Marsh. J.P. Crawford scores.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (44) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








