Blue Jays at Pirates
Last play · Ronny Simon flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Pirates0%
TOR 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 1 PIT
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Pirates favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Addison Barger scores. Bo Bichette scores. (inning 1) — -16% Blue Jays
8Jack Suwinski singles on a line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Nick Gonzales scores.7–3
7Ronny Simon out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Addison Barger. Joey Bart scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.7–2
7Alejandro Kirk homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Bo Bichette scores.7–1
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, third baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Ty France. Andrew McCutchen scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd. Joey Bart to 2nd.5–1
2George Springer homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Myles Straw scores.5–0
1Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Addison Barger scores. Bo Bichette scores.3–0
1Alejandro Kirk singles on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. George Springer scores. Alejandro Kirk out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Bryan Reynolds to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Addison Barger to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








