Yankees at Rays
Last play · Ha-Seong Kim called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYY 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 10 – 2 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (40) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — -12% Yankees
9José Caballero homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.13–3
8Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to third baseman José Caballero. Christopher Morel scores. Everson Pereira to 2nd.12–3
6Cody Bellinger homers (24) on a fly ball to right field. Aaron Judge scores.12–2
4Ben Rice homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.10–2
4Giancarlo Stanton homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores.9–2
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field.6–2
2Chandler Simpson grounds into a force out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Jake Mangum scores. Nick Fortes out at 2nd. Chandler Simpson to 1st.5–2
2Nick Fortes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Giancarlo Stanton. Everson Pereira scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








