Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Brice Turang grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Owen Caissie singles on a fly ball to left fielder Christian Yelich. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 2) — +15% Cubs
6Michael Busch reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Brice Turang. Matt Shaw scores.1–4
5Brewers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Sal Frelick. Ian Happ scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.1–3
2Michael Busch doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Isaac Collins. Owen Caissie scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.1–2
2Owen Caissie singles on a fly ball to left fielder Christian Yelich. Nico Hoerner scores.1–1
1Andrew Vaughn singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








