Rangers at Royals
Last play · Josh Jung flies out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.
Win probability
Royals100%
TEX 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 1 KC
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan India hit by pitch. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. Randal Grichuk to 2nd. (inning 7) — +21% Royals
8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (18) on a line drive to center field. Mike Yastrzemski scores.2–5
7Jonathan India hit by pitch. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. Randal Grichuk to 2nd.2–3
6Mike Yastrzemski homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
4Joc Pederson homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Vinnie Pasquantino homers (24) on a line drive to right center field.1–1
1Corey Seager homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








