Astros at Tigers
Last play · Jeremy Peña lines out to center fielder Javier Báez.
Win probability
Tigers100%
HOU 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 7 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Tigers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez strikes out swinging. (inning 2) — -12% Astros
4Mauricio Dubón homers (7) on a line drive to right center field. Yainer Diaz scores.2–7
3Javier Báez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Melton. Dillon Dingler scores. Javier Báez to 2nd.0–7
1Javier Báez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Dillon Dingler scores.0–6
1Dillon Dingler triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jesús Sánchez, deflected by center fielder Taylor Trammell. Riley Greene scores.0–5
1Riley Greene walks.0–3
1Spencer Torkelson hits a ground-rule double (25) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Gleyber Torres scores. Andy Ibáñez to 3rd.0–2
1Andy Ibáñez singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Taylor Trammell. Jahmai Jones scores. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








