Brewers at Cubs
Last play · William Contreras lines out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
Win probability
Cubs100%
MIL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -145
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Owen Caissie scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores. (inning 3) — +37% Cubs
9Danny Jansen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ, deflected by third baseman Matt Shaw. Brice Turang scores.3–4
8Matt Shaw homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
6Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie. Christian Yelich scores.2–3
3Michael Busch doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Owen Caissie scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw scores.1–3
2Blake Perkins grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Christian Yelich scores. Anthony Seigler to 3rd. Brice Turang to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








