Blue Jays at Pirates
Last play · Daulton Varsho flies out to center fielder Jack Suwinski.
Win probability
Pirates100%
TOR 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Pirates favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Bryan Reynolds scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. (inning 1) — +22% Pirates
1Tommy Pham doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Bryan Reynolds scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.1–2
1George Springer homers (21) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








