Mets at Nationals
NYM4–
WSH5Last play · Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Luis Torrens grounds into a double play, second baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Josh Bell. Cedric Mullins out at 2nd. Luis Torrens out at 1st.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 5 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores. (inning 6) — -22% Mets
6Jeff McNeil doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores.4–5
6Pete Alonso doubles (32) on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.2–5
5Josh Bell homers (16) on a line drive to right center field.1–5
5Brett Baty homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
4Drew Millas triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Dylan Crews scores.0–4
4Dylan Crews doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Starling Marte. Paul DeJong scores.0–3
3Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Robert Hassell III scores.0–2
3CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to first baseman Pete Alonso. Dylan Crews scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd. James Wood to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.