Guardians at D-backs
Last play · Adrian Del Castillo singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Pavin Smith scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CLE 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 AZ
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
D-backs favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 9) — +44% D-backs
10Adrian Del Castillo singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Pavin Smith scores.2–3
9Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
2Brayan Rocchio grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tyler Locklear. CJ Kayfus scores.2–1
1Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder CJ Kayfus. Ketel Marte scores.1–1
1Bo Naylor grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tyler Locklear. Steven Kwan scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








