Rangers at Royals
Last play · Kyle Higashioka strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
TEX 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 5 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Ezequiel Duran scores. Evan Carter scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd. (inning 5) — -25% Rangers
7Luke Maile walks. Salvador Perez scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd. Jonathan India to 2nd.4–6
5Vinnie Pasquantino homers (26) on a fly ball to right center field.4–5
5Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Ezequiel Duran scores. Evan Carter scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd.4–4
5Rowdy Tellez reaches on a fielder's choice. Corey Seager scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd. Evan Carter to 2nd. Missed catch error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., assist to second baseman Jonathan India.2–4
4Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Smith. Nick Loftin scores.1–4
4Tyler Tolbert out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Evan Carter. Jonathan India scores. Nick Loftin to 3rd.1–3
3Salvador Perez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Smith. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–2
3Joc Pederson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Wyatt Langford scores. Corey Seager to 2nd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








