Astros at Orioles
Last play · Gunnar Henderson flies out to right fielder Jesús Sánchez.
Win probability
Orioles0%
HOU 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 7 – 1 BAL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 1) — -22% Astros
6Dylan Beavers grounds into a force out, first baseman Christian Walker to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Colton Cowser scores. Samuel Basallo to 3rd. Coby Mayo out at 2nd. Dylan Beavers to 1st.7–2
3Yainer Diaz homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Jesús Sánchez scores.7–1
3Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Christian Walker scores.5–1
2Dylan Beavers homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
2Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Mauricio Dubón scores. Jacob Melton scores.4–0
1Christian Walker homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Correa scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








