Red Sox at Yankees
Last play · Giancarlo Stanton grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Yankees0%
BOS 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — +20% Yankees
9Roman Anthony homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. David Hamilton scores.6–3
7Nathaniel Lowe doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Giancarlo Stanton. Trevor Story scores.4–3
6Roman Anthony singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. David Hamilton scores. Carlos Narváez to 2nd.3–3
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela, deflected by shortstop Trevor Story. Aaron Judge scores. Ben Rice to 3rd.2–3
5Nathaniel Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Roman Anthony scores.2–2
4Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–2
2Ben Rice homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
2Carlos Narváez walks.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








