Mets at Nationals
NYM3–
WSH9Last play · Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 4 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Adams singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams scores. Andrés Chaparro out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Cedric Mullins to first baseman Pete Alonso to third baseman Mark Vientos to second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso. (inning 5) — +30% Nationals
8James Wood homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field. Dylan Crews scores. Brady House scores.3–9
8Brady House singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Riley Adams scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd.3–6
6Jacob Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Daylen Lile scores.3–5
5Riley Adams singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams scores. Andrés Chaparro out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Cedric Mullins to first baseman Pete Alonso to third baseman Mark Vientos to second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso.3–4
5Paul DeJong out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Brady House scores.3–2
4Dylan Crews grounds out, second baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso. CJ Abrams scores. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd. Riley Adams to 2nd.3–1
4Hayden Senger out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd.3–0
3Starling Marte homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.