Blue Jays at Marlins
Last play · Javier Sanoja grounds out, third baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Marlins0%
TOR 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 1 MIA
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Marlins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jakob Marsee. Alejandro Kirk scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Ty France out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jakob Marsee to catcher Liam Hicks to shortstop Maximo Acosta. (inning 1) — -16% Blue Jays
8Maximo Acosta homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.5–2
6Daulton Varsho homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Alejandro Kirk scores.5–1
2Javier Sanoja homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
1Ty France singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jakob Marsee. Alejandro Kirk scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Ty France out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jakob Marsee to catcher Liam Hicks to shortstop Maximo Acosta.3–0
1Daulton Varsho doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jakob Marsee. Bo Bichette scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








