Mets at Braves
Last play · Matt Olson grounds out softly, pitcher Ryan Helsley to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Braves0%
NYM 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 7 – 2 ATL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Braves favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hayden Senger singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor to 3rd. (inning 2) — -15% Mets
9Jurickson Profar doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Ozzie Albies scores. Vidal Bruján scores.12–7
9Vidal Bruján singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Marcell Ozuna scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.12–5
8Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Jurickson Profar scores.12–4
8Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to first baseman Pete Alonso. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scores.12–3
8Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Hayden Senger scores.12–2
8Hayden Senger singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Brett Baty scores. Cedric Mullins scores.11–2
7Juan Soto homers (32) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Lindor scores.9–2
4Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.7–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








