Astros at Orioles
HOU10–
BAL7Last play · Vimael Machín strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
HOU 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 7 – 3 BAL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (18) on a line drive to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 5) — -29% Astros
8Vimael Machín homers (1) on a line drive to center field.10–7
8Jeremy Peña doubles (22) on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser, deflected by pitcher Corbin Martin. Jacob Melton scores.10–6
8Victor Caratini doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Ramón Urías scores. Jesús Sánchez scores.9–6
7Colton Cowser homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.7–6
6Jeremiah Jackson grounds out, second baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Christian Walker. Luis Vázquez scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.7–5
6Jackson Holliday grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Ramón Urías. Dylan Beavers scores. Luis Vázquez to 3rd. Alex Jackson out at 2nd. Jackson Holliday to 1st.7–4
5Christian Walker homers (18) on a line drive to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Altuve scores.7–3
4Jeremiah Jackson doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Chas McCormick, deflected by right fielder Cam Smith. Dylan Beavers scores. Alex Jackson scores.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.