Athletics at Mariners
Last play · JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
ATH 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 1 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Mariners favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 7) — +21% Mariners
9Jacob Wilson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brent Rooker scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 2nd.2–3
7Jorge Polanco homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
7Josh Naylor homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
5Eugenio Suárez homers (40) on a line drive to left field.1–1
1Brent Rooker homers (26) on a line drive to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








