Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Teoscar Hernández strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 2 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 4) — +16% Padres
4Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Manny Machado scores.1–2
4Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.1–1
3Alex Freeland homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








