Reds at D-backs
Last play · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Corbin Carroll scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CIN 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
D-backs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ketel Marte singles on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Alek Thomas scores. (inning 10) — +42% D-backs
11Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Corbin Carroll scores.5–6
10Ketel Marte singles on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Alek Thomas scores.5–5
10Jose Trevino reaches on a throwing error by pitcher John Curtiss. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Jose Trevino to 2nd.5–4
8Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Miguel Andujar scores.4–4
6Austin Hays grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–4
3Gabriel Moreno homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Corbin Carroll scores. Pavin Smith scores.2–4
2Jose Trevino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.2–1
2Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Noelvi Marte scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








