Astros at Orioles
Last play · Samuel Basallo grounds out, second baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Christian Walker.
Win probability
Orioles0%
HOU 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 7 – 7 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 7) — -31% Astros
8Jeremiah Jackson singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Chas McCormick. Dylan Beavers scores.9–8
7Christian Walker homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Altuve scores.9–7
5Colton Cowser homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.7–7
4Jeremiah Jackson homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.7–6
3Victor Caratini grounds out, third baseman Vimael Machín to first baseman Coby Mayo. Jose Altuve scores. Jesús Sánchez scores. Throwing error by first baseman Coby Mayo.7–5
2Ryan Mountcastle singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jacob Melton. Dylan Beavers scores. Jackson Holliday scores. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.5–5
1Colton Cowser singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jeremiah Jackson scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–3
1Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jackson Holliday scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








