Royals at Tigers
Last play · Jonathan India flies out to center fielder Javier Báez.
Win probability
Tigers100%
KC 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Tigers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Ibáñez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +17% Tigers
8Andy Ibáñez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
6Bobby Witt Jr. homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
5Jake Rogers singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Zach McKinstry scores. Jake Rogers to 2nd. Jake Rogers advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.1–3
4Spencer Torkelson homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
4Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–1
3Jake Rogers doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Javier Báez scores. Jake Rogers out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Randal Grichuk to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to third baseman Maikel Garcia.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








