Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Mookie Betts grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 3 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano singles on a ground ball to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. (inning 4) — +22% Padres
8Xander Bogaerts doubles (29) on a line drive to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado scores.1–5
8Alex Freeland homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
4Jake Cronenworth out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Call. Xander Bogaerts scores.0–3
4Ramón Laureano singles on a ground ball to right fielder Teoscar Hernández. Manny Machado scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








