Maine vs. Oklahoma: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Maine

Oklahoma4-4

▸

Final

Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

	1	2	3	4	T
MAIN	7	0	0	7	14
OU	7	28	14	10	59

MAINTeam statsOU

251Total yards665

144Pass284

107Rush381

14First downs26

4-153rd down10-14

1Turnovers1

30:16Possession29:44

Q4 6:17OUXavier Robinson 4 Yd Run (Liam Evans Kick)14–59
Q4 9:38MAINNick Laughlin 5 Yd Run (Joey Bryson Kick)14–52
Q4 12:37OUZach Schmit 24 Yd Field Goal 7–52
Q3 6:20OUKaden Helms 9 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Zach Schmit Kick)7–49
Q3 12:40OUJovantae Barnes 19 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)7–42
Q2 0:34OUJovantae Barnes 8 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)7–35
Q2 3:16OUJ.J. Hester 90 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Zach Schmit Kick)7–28
Q2 6:46OUJackson Arnold 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)7–21
Q2 13:44OUTaylor Tatum 1 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)7–14
Q1 7:07OUJovantae Barnes 2 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)7–7
Q1 7:59MAINCooper Heisey 3 Yd pass from Carter Peevy (Joey Bryson Kick)7–0

How the model called it

Market line

OU −37.5

Against the number

OU covered

line OU −37.5

What the numbers say

MAIN played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and OU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.8 vs 3rd & 4.9

Kickoff155 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

OU (top)MAIN (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: OU 100%

Closing line

OU −37.5

Closing total

48.0

Model line

—

Actual result

MAIN 14 – 59 OU

Maine

PassCarter Peevy 13/24, 123 YDS, 1 TD
RushCarter Peevy 6 CAR, 30 YDS
RecJoe Gillette 3 REC, 64 YDS

Oklahoma

PassJackson Arnold 15/21, 224 YDS, 2 TD
RushJovantae Barnes 18 CAR, 203 YDS, 3 TD
RecJ.J. Hester 4 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD

25.1sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

143

Points / snap

0.51

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

OU up 42 entering the 4th quarter. Across 168 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

OU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WCincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky66-13 WMemphis vs Bethune-Cookman56-14 WWestern Carolina vs Charleston Southern77-28 WYale vs Morgan State45-3 WMonmouth vs Lehigh49-7

FAQ

What was the final score of Maine vs. Oklahoma?

Maine 14, Oklahoma 59.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.

MAIN

32%

Success rate

56%

0.12

EPA / pass

0.75

-0.12

EPA / rush

0.49

30%

Early-down success

52%

32%

Pass success

54%

31%

Rush success

57%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

14%

19%

Stuffed rush rate

11%

59%

Pass rate

33%

8.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

4.9

MAIN

8.8 yards to go on 3rd down

63 scrimmage snaps

4.9 yards to go on 3rd down

80 scrimmage snaps

MAIN		OU
251	Total yards	665
144	Passing yards	284
107	Rushing yards	381
14	First downs	26
4-15	3rd down	10-14
2-2	4th down	2-2
17/33	Comp/Att	18/26
4.4	Yards per pass	10.9
3.7	Yards per rush	7.3
1	Turnovers	1
1-5	Penalties	6-65
30:16	Possession	29:44

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

MAINTeam statsOU

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Maine vs. Oklahoma?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Maine vs. Oklahoma: Final Score & Recap

MAINTeam statsOU

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Maine vs. Oklahoma?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?