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UNM
New Mexico
FINAL
28
–
35
Final
🔥 UNM 11-0 run
SJSU
●
San José State
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
T
UNM
0
17
0
11
28
SJSU
7
14
14
0
35
← Game
New Mexico at San José State
2025 · Week 6 · CEFCU Stadium
Replay mode · scrub the timeline
Win Probability — SJSU (top) vs UNM (bottom)
consensus
house model
Q2
Q3
Q4
SJSU ▲
UNM ▲
SJSU 100%
50%
UNM 100%
⏮
◀
▶
▶
⏭
Play
151
/ 151
1×
2×
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Jump to
Kickoff
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
← → step · space play · drag chart to scrub
Drives — tap to jump
TD
SJSU
12p·75y
INT
UNM
9p·45y
TD
SJSU
9p·67y
TD
UNM
10p·75y
TD
SJSU
7p·100y
TD
UNM
6p·78y
PUNT
SJSU
6p·13y
FG
UNM
15p·97y
PUNT
UNM
6p·-3y
TD
SJSU
5p·70y
INT
UNM
3p·13y
TD
SJSU
12p·86y
INT
UNM
6p·36y
PUNT
SJSU
4p·2y
TD
UNM
9p·72y
PUNT
SJSU
11p·36y
FG
UNM
12p·111y
—
SJSU
9p·32y
UNM
28
–
35
SJSU
FINAL
0%
100%
Win Probability
consensus
UNM
0%
100%
SJSU
House model
SJSU 100%
Live Line
house price
Live spread
SJSU -8.6
open -2.0
· ▼ 6.6
Proj. total
63
O/U 58.833333333333336
· OVER pace
Live moneyline
UNM +9900
/
SJSU -9900
Betting Read
model vs the number
Against the spread
SJSU -2.0
UNM 0%
100% SJSU
Total
O/U 58.833333333333336
Over 100%
0% Under
Situation
FINAL
SJSU ball
2nd & 11 · UNM 40
SJSU
UNM
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
UNM
Timeouts
SJSU
W. Eget takes a knee
Current Drive
#18
SJSU
from SJSU 25
9
plays
32
yards
+0.3
drive EPA
Leverage
this play
Win-prob added
+0.9
Swung to
SJSU
UNM
Momentum
SJSU
Game tension index
VIX-style WP volatility
47
Live Efficiency
UNM · SJSU
524
Total yds
481
6.9
Yds/play
6.4
+0.25
EPA/play
+0.47
55%
Success %
60%
8
Explosive (20+)
4
3
Turnovers
0
Game Leaders
final
UNM
passing
Jack Layne
28/40, 344 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Damon Bankston
9 car, 51 yds, 1 TD
receiving
Keagan Johnson
11 rec, 145 yds
SJSU
passing
Walker Eget
26/30, 334 yds, 3 TD
rushing
Steve Chavez-Soto
14 car, 71 yds, 2 TD
receiving
Danny Scudero
7 rec, 151 yds, 1 TD
Biggest Swings
where it turned
+17
Q1 9:10
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 4 yds for a TD (Mathias Brown KICK)
-16
Q2 9:30
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-14
Q2 3:29
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+12
Q2 9:09
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the SJSU 8
+12
Q3 10:27
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 10 yds for a TD (Mathias Brown KICK)
+11
Q1 4:05
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the SJSU 37
Play Feed
tap to jump
Q4 0:00
-1.7 EPA
W. Eget takes a knee
28-35
Q4 1:17
-1.0 EPA
W. Eget takes a knee
28-35
Q4 1:48
+1.1 EPA
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down
28-35
Q4 1:54
-0.4 EPA
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 3 yds to the UNM 47
28-35
Q4 2:01
+2.2 EPA
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
28-35
Q4 2:10
-0.8 EPA
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 1 yd to the SJSU 36
28-35
Q4 2:38
+1.1 EPA
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 2 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST down
28-35
