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SJSU
●
San José State
FINAL
29
–
30
Final
🔥 STAN 9-0 run
STAN
Stanford
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
T
SJSU
10
10
0
9
29
STAN
7
7
0
16
30
← Game
San José State at Stanford
2025 · Week 5 · Stanford Stadium
Replay mode · scrub the timeline
Win Probability — STAN (top) vs SJSU (bottom)
consensus
house model
Q2
Q3
Q4
STAN ▲
SJSU ▲
STAN 100%
50%
SJSU 100%
⏮
◀
▶
▶
⏭
Play
171
/ 171
1×
2×
4×
⧉ Share moment
Jump to
Kickoff
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
← → step · space play · drag chart to scrub
Drives — tap to jump
TD
STAN
15p·81y
FG
SJSU
8p·102y
—
STAN
3p·-1y
TD
SJSU
5p·24y
PUNT
STAN
5p·-2y
PUNT
SJSU
4p·14y
PUNT
STAN
5p·19y
FG
SJSU
7p·88y
TD
STAN
7p·77y
TD
SJSU
5p·75y
PUNT
STAN
4p·-14y
MISS
SJSU
5p·76y
PUNT
STAN
7p·39y
—
SJSU
1p·-1y
—
SJSU
8p·46y
—
STAN
10p·60y
MISS
SJSU
14p·95y
PUNT
STAN
4p·5y
TD
SJSU
8p·61y
TD
STAN
5p·75y
FG
SJSU
10p·93y
FG
STAN
7p·90y
PUNT
SJSU
9p·32y
TD
STAN
12p·80y
FUM
SJSU
3p·21y
SJSU
29
–
30
STAN
FINAL
0%
100%
Win Probability
consensus
SJSU
0%
100%
STAN
House model
STAN 100%
Live Line
house price
Live spread
SJSU -0.6
open -3.0
· ▲ 3.6
Proj. total
59
O/U 49.666666666666664
· OVER pace
Live moneyline
SJSU +9900
/
STAN -9900
Betting Read
model vs the number
Against the spread
STAN -3.0
SJSU 100%
0% STAN
Total
O/U 49.666666666666664
Over 100%
0% Under
Situation
FINAL
SJSU ball
2nd & 10 · SJSU 38
STAN
SJSU
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
SJSU
Timeouts
STAN
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 8 yds Tama Amisone fumbled, recovered by SJSU Zach Johnson
Current Drive
#25
SJSU
from SJSU 25
3
plays
21
yards
+0.8
drive EPA
Leverage
this play
Win-prob added
+6.4
Swung to
STAN
SJSU
Momentum
STAN
Game tension index
VIX-style WP volatility
91
Live Efficiency
SJSU · STAN
726
Total yds
509
8.3
Yds/play
6.1
+0.36
EPA/play
+0.32
51%
Success %
45%
12
Explosive (20+)
9
1
Turnovers
0
Game Leaders
final
SJSU
passing
Walker Eget
36/58, 473 yds, 3 TD
rushing
Walker Eget
2 car, 19 yds
receiving
Kyri Shoels
10 rec, 147 yds, 1 TD
STAN
passing
Ben Gulbranson
29/43, 444 yds, 2 TD
rushing
Cole Tabb
12 car, 48 yds, 1 TD
receiving
CJ Williams
12 rec, 138 yds
Biggest Swings
where it turned
-38
Q2 1:59
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 29 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)
+37
Q4 0:19
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+31
Q4 12:19
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Myles Libman for 14 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+28
Q4 0:11
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 13 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST down
+25
Q2 4:06
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Sam Roush for 15 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)
+24
Q4 0:57
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 10 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST down
Play Feed
tap to jump
Q4 0:00
+0.8 EPA
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 8 yds Tama Amisone fumbled, recovered by SJSU Zach Johnson
29-30
Q4 0:05
-1.1 EPA
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland Smith
29-30
Q4 0:11
+1.1 EPA
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 13 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST down
29-30
Q4 0:19
+0.9 EPA
Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
29-30
Q4 0:33
+1.9 EPA
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 14 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST down
29-24
Q4 0:38
-0.3 EPA
Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete to Caden High
29-24
Q4 0:57
+0.1 EPA
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to CJ Williams for 10 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST down
29-24
