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SJSU
●
San José State
FINAL
7
–
38
Final
🔥 TEX 10-0 run
TEX
Texas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
T
SJSU
0
7
0
0
7
TEX
14
14
10
0
38
← Game
San José State at Texas
2025 · Week 2 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Replay mode · scrub the timeline
Win Probability — TEX (top) vs SJSU (bottom)
consensus
house model
Q2
Q3
Q4
TEX ▲
SJSU ▲
TEX 100%
50%
SJSU 100%
⏮
◀
▶
▶
⏭
Play
160
/ 160
1×
2×
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⧉ Share moment
Jump to
Kickoff
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
← → step · space play · drag chart to scrub
Drives — tap to jump
PUNT
TEX
5p·-4y
MISS
SJSU
11p·77y
PUNT
TEX
6p·16y
PUNT
SJSU
11p·27y
TD
TEX
3p·90y
INT
SJSU
1p·0y
TD
TEX
5p·34y
FUM
SJSU
2p·11y
TD
TEX
1p·36y
FUM
SJSU
3p·18y
—
TEX
1p·0y
TD
SJSU
9p·75y
PUNT
TEX
7p·15y
—
SJSU
5p·16y
PUNT
TEX
4p·7y
FUM
SJSU
2p·29y
INT
TEX
6p·78y
MISS
SJSU
5p·77y
PUNT
SJSU
4p·36y
FG
TEX
7p·79y
PUNT
SJSU
7p·27y
PUNT
TEX
4p·6y
—
SJSU
4p·1y
TD
TEX
6p·63y
—
SJSU
13p·64y
PUNT
TEX
9p·41y
PUNT
SJSU
4p·6y
FUM
TEX
12p·49y
—
SJSU
3p·5y
SJSU
7
–
38
TEX
FINAL
0%
100%
Win Probability
consensus
SJSU
0%
100%
TEX
House model
TEX 100%
Live Line
house price
Live spread
TEX -29.4
open -36.5
· ▲ 7.1
Proj. total
45
O/U 52.5
· UNDER pace
Live moneyline
SJSU +9900
/
TEX -9900
Betting Read
model vs the number
Against the spread
TEX -36.5
SJSU 100%
0% TEX
Total
O/U 52.5
Over 0%
100% Under
Situation
FINAL
SJSU ball
3rd & 7 · SJSU 18
TEX
SJSU
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
SJSU
Timeouts
TEX
Jabari Bates run for 2 yds to the SJSU 20
Current Drive
#29
SJSU
from SJSU 15
3
plays
5
yards
-0.6
drive EPA
Leverage
this play
Win-prob added
+2.2
Swung to
TEX
SJSU
Momentum
TEX
Game tension index
VIX-style WP volatility
36
Live Efficiency
SJSU · TEX
469
Total yds
510
5.6
Yds/play
6.7
-0.16
EPA/play
+0.19
40%
Success %
44%
6
Explosive (20+)
8
4
Turnovers
3
Game Leaders
final
SJSU
passing
Walker Eget
21/42, 188 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jabari Bates
10 car, 44 yds, 1 TD
receiving
Kyri Shoels
8 rec, 73 yds
TEX
passing
Arch Manning
19/30, 295 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
CJ Baxter Jr.
13 car, 64 yds
receiving
Parker Livingstone
4 rec, 128 yds, 2 TD
Biggest Swings
where it turned
+22
Q1 2:52
Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 83 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+11
Q2 14:45
Arch Manning pass complete to Jack Endries for 36 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+10
Q1 10:20
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 31
-9
Q1 8:40
Arch Manning run for 9 yds to the TEX 45
+9
Q1 0:12
Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+6
Q4 1:16
Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 15 Jerrick Gibson fumbled, forced by Larry Turner-Gooden, recovered by SJSU Jordan Pollard
Play Feed
tap to jump
Q4 0:00
-0.1 EPA
Jabari Bates run for 2 yds to the SJSU 20
7-38
Q4 1:00
-0.1 EPA
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 18
7-38
Q4 1:10
-0.4 EPA
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland Smith
7-38
Q4 1:16
-4.4 EPA
Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 15 Jerrick Gibson fumbled, forced by Larry Turner-Gooden, recovered by SJSU Jordan Pollard
7-38
Q4 1:50
+2.8 EPA
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Kaliq Lockett for 17 yds to the SJSU 21 for a 1ST down
7-38
Q4 2:00
+0.3 EPA
Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 38
7-38
Q4 2:57
-0.4 EPA
Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 44
7-38
