Allegiant StadiumCBSSNConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
UNLV 1622
WYO 1295
Projected spread
UNLV -16.9
incl. home edge
Model pick
UNLV
89% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
89%
UNLV (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (UNLV Elo 1622, WYO Elo 1295) plus home-field advantage. That projects UNLV -16.9 (89% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWYO 11% · UNLV 89%
Pick: UNLV
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
WYO2025 season · national rank shownUNLV
314.8122nd
Total yards / game
446.821st4.9123rd
Yards / play
6.8Key matchups · Pro
- UNLV pass offense (0.37 PPA) vs. WYO pass defense (0.13 allowed) — edge UNLV.
- WYO rush offense (0.02 PPA) vs. UNLV rush defense (0.23 allowed) — edge UNLV.
- UNLV rush offense (0.26 PPA) vs. WYO rush defense (0.09 allowed) — edge UNLV.
FAQ
Who will win Wyoming vs. UNLV?
Gridpex's model favors UNLV with a 89% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Wyoming vs. UNLV?
The model projects UNLV by 16.9.
What time is Wyoming vs. UNLV and what channel is it on?
Sun, Nov 8, 3:30 AM on CBSSN, at Allegiant Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this UNLV at 89% to win, projecting UNLV by 16.9.